2018 forecast shows continued growth in all sectors, led by institutional building
Washington, D.C. – January 31, 2017 – With construction spending continuing on an upward trajectory, 2016 can be considered a successful year for the nonresidential building sector. For the coming year, the American Institute of Architects (AIA) semi-annual Consensus Construction Forecast is projecting growth in overall nonresidential building spending of almost 6%, just below the pace of growth for 2016. The commercial construction sectors – retail, office, and hotel – will continue to lead the building recovery, while industrial construction is projected to see almost no increase this year. For 2018, the institutional construction sectors will generate much of the growth, particularly the large education structures market.
“Though most conditions look favorable, virtually every segment of the design and construction market is reporting that recruiting and retaining qualified staff is a growing issue,” said AIA Chief Economist, Kermit Baker, PhD, Hon. AIA. “Many workers left the industry during the downturn, and others left the workforce entirely, and rebuilding a competent and productive workforce is a challenge, particularly when the national unemployment rate is below five percent.”
|
Market Segment Consensus Growth Forecasts |
2017 |
2018 |
| Overall nonresidential building | 5.6% | 4.9% |
| Commercial / industrial | 8.3% | 4.4% |
| Office space | 10.6% | 4.6% |
| Hotels | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Retail | 6.8% | 5.3% |
| Industrial facilities | 0.4% | 3.3% |
| Institutional | 5.7% | 5.8% |
| Amusement / recreation | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Education | 6.3% | 6.7% |
| Healthcare facilities | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| Public safety | -0.7% | 4.0% |
| Religious | -1.9% | 0.6% |
You can learn more about the Consensus Construction Forecast here:
https://www.aia.org/articles/26666-even-with-uncertainties-looming-healthy-gain
About the AIA Consensus Construction Forecast Panel
The AIA Consensus Construction Forecast Panel is conducted twice a year with the leading nonresidential construction forecasters in the United States including, Dodge Data & Analytics, Wells Fargo Securities, IHS-Global Insight, Moody’s economy.com, CMD Group, Associated Builders & Contractors and FMI. The purpose of the Consensus Construction Forecast Panel is to project business conditions in the construction industry over the coming 12 to 18 months. The Consensus Construction Forecast Panel has been conducted for 18 years.
About The American Institute of Architects
Founded in 1857, the American Institute of Architects consistently works to create more valuable, healthy, secure, and sustainable buildings, neighborhoods, and communities. Through nearly 300 state and local chapters, the AIA advocates for public policies that promote economic vitality and public wellbeing. Members adhere to a code of ethics and conduct to ensure the highest professional standards. The AIA provides members with tools and resources to assist them in their careers and business as well as engaging civic and government leaders and the public to find solutions to pressing issues facing our communities, institutions, nation and world. Visit
www.aia.org.
Contacts:
Matt Tinder
202-626-7462
Email Contact
